International Liège Colloquium 2024

Ocean Extremes

This is the program for the 2024 edition of the Liège Colloquium. All times are in Central European Time (local time).

Monday 27 May 2024

08:30. Registration

09:00. Welcome by the vice-rector of the University of Liège, Prof. Pierre Duysinx

09:10. Welcome by organizers

09:20. Opening lecture - Thomas Frölicher: Ocean extremes in a changing climate: definition, attribution and future changes

Session - Drivers and Mechanisms; Session Chair: Matjaz Licer

09:50. Giulia Bonino, Ronan Mcadam, Carmen Alvarez-Castro, Leone Cavicchia, Panos Athanasiadis, Enrico Scoccimarro, Stefano Tibaldi, Silvio Gualdi & Simona Masina. Favorable atmospheric conditions for summer Marine Heatwaves in the Western Mediterranean Sea

10:10. Richard Renshaw & Ségolène Berthou. June 2023 marine heatwave over the NorthWest European Shelf- origins, weather feedback and future recurrence.

10:30. Coffee Break

11:00. Cécile Pujol, Iván Pérez Santos, Alexander Barth, Pamela Linford, Elias Pinilla & Aida Alvera Azcárate. Marine Heatwaves in coastal area: example of the Sea of Chiloe, Chile

11:20. Sofia Darmaraki, Robin Waldman, Florence Sevault & Samuel Somot. Future Marine Heatwave drivers in the Mediterranean Sea.

11:40. Cassia Cai, Luanne Thompson, Jacob Cohen, Anna-Lena Deppenmeier & Elizabeth Maroon & Valentina Staneva. The role of internal variability in North Pacific marine heatwave development and the connection to tropical surface temperature variability.

12:00. Lunch Break

Session - Drivers and Mechanisms; Session Chair: Robert Schlegel

14:10. Keynote: Svetlana Jevrejeva, Joanne Williams, Michalis I. Vousdoukas & Luke P. Jackson. Future sea level rise dominates changes in worst case extreme sea levels along the global coastline by 2100.

14:40. Ivica Vilibic, Jadranka Sepic & Petra Zemunik Selak. Meteotsunamis: from local hazard to global relevance.

15:00. Christian Ferrarin, Marco Bajo & Emmanouil Flaounas. The marine and coastal hazards of Mediterranean cyclones.

15:20. Jithendra Raju, Sivareddy Sanikommu, Aneesh C Subramanian, Donata Giglio & Ibrahim Hoteit. Subsurface Heat Wave and Coral Bleaching in the Southern Red Sea Linked to Local and Remote Forcings.

15:40. Coffee Break

16:10. Friedrich A. Burger & Thomas L. Frölicher. Drivers of surface ocean acidity extremes in an Earth system model.

16:30. Javier Zavala-Garay Towards understanding the different forcing mechanisms producing extreme Sea Level events in the Vietnamese east coast.

16:50. Robert Schlegel. Marine heatwaves: shadow of the colossus.

17:10. Ice Breaker

Tuesday 28 May 2024

Session – Long-Term Changes; Session Chair: Aida Alvera-Azcárate

09:00. Marylou Athanase, Antonio Sánchez-Benítez, Helge F. Goessling, Felix Pithan & Thomas Jung. Projected amplification of summer marine heatwaves in a warming Northeast Pacific Ocean.

09:20. Wei Chen & Joanna Staneva. Characteristics and trends of marine heatwaves in the Northwest European Shelf and the impacts on density stratification.

09:40. Bayoumy Mohamed, Alexander Barth & Aida Alvera Azcárate. Contribution of long-term warming and interannual variability to marine heatwaves in the North Sea.

10:00. Behzad Bashiri, Amirhossein Barzandeh & Urmas Raudsepp. Spatial and temporal variability of marine heatwave in the Baltic Sea.

10:20. Coffee Break

11:00. Nicolas Reul, Jean-Francois Piolle, Bertrand Chapron, Joseph Tenerelli, Alexis Mouche, Fabrice Collard, Sylvain Herlédan, Marcos Portabella, Ad Stoffelen, Jamie D. Shutler, Johnny J. Johannessen, Biao Zhang, William Perrie, Ngan Tran, Hans Bonnekamp, Federico Cossu, Albert S. Rabaneda & Marie-Hé Elène Rio. The European Space Agency (ESA) Marine Atmosphere eXtreme Satellite Synergy (MAXSS) project.

11:20. Alice Pietri, François Colas, Daniel Camarena, Adolfo Chamorro & Julie Leloup. Characteristics And Evolution Of Marine Heatwaves In The Coastal Region Of Peru-Chile.

11:40. Raed Halawi Ghosn, Émilie Poisson-Caillault, Guillaume Wacquet & Alain Lefebvre. Using Machine Learning to Characterize Phytoplankton Algal Blooms and Environmental States in the eastern English Channel.

12:00. Lunch Break

Session – Long-Term Changes; Session Chair: Jean-Marie Beckers

14:00. Keynote: Sigi Gruber. Overview of European Union policies and initiatives aimed at understanding, mitigating, and adapting to marine extremes, and their impact on ocean health and coastal communities.

14:30. Alexandre Payez, Ad Stoffelen, Cees De Valk & Rianne Giesen. Using extreme value theory to study decadal trends in extreme ocean surface winds.

14:50. Julie Cheynel, Lucia Pineau-Guillou, Pascal Lazure, Marta Marcos & Nicolas Raillard. Regional changes in storm surges along the North Atlantic coasts, since 1850.

15:10. Elke M.I. Meyer & Lidia Gaslikova. What should you know about atmospheric reanalysis products, examples based on historical severe storm tides.

15:30. Online poster 2-minute presentations.

16:00 - 17:30 Poster Session (Including Coffee break).

Wednesday 29 May 2024

Session – Compound Events; Session Chair: Thomas Frölicher

09:00. Keynote: Regina R. Rodrigues, Piero Bernardo, Noel Keenlyside, Thomas Frölicher, Friedrich Burger & Alistair Hobday. Extreme Compound Events in the Tropical and South Atlantic

09:30. Lily G. C. Genevier, Yixin Wang, Marianthi Patheraki, Dionysios E Raitsos & Ibrahim Hoteit. Compound marine heatwaves and biogeochemical extremes explain regional patterns in coral bleaching severity in the Red Sea

09:50. Anastasia Romanou Compound extremes: marine heat waves and acidification under two different AMOC states

10:10. Natacha Le Grix, William Cheung, Gabriel Reygondeau, Jakob Zscheischler & Thomas Frölicher. Extreme and compound ocean events are key drivers of projected low pelagic fish biomass

10.30 Coffee Break

11:00. Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Maryna Blokhina, Jens Murawski & Jacob Woge Nielsen. Estimating authoritative storm surge protection levels for a European capital region

11:20. Iva Medugorac, Domagoj Dolicki, Goran Gasparac, Karla Jambrosic, Josipa Kuzmic, Miroslava Pasaric, Jadranka Sepic & Iva Vrkic. Historical floods in the northern Adriatic Sea

11:40. Helge Bormann, Lidia Gaslikova, Jenny Kebschull & Ralf Weisse. Inland flood risks associated with compound storm tide and precipitation events in the climate change perspective

12:00. Lunch Break

14:00. Joel Wong, Nicolas Gruber & Matthias Münnich. Column-Compound Extremes: From the Global to the Southern Ocean

14:20. Manal Hamdeno & Aida Alvera-Azcárate. Comprehensive Evaluation of Marine and Atmospheric Heatwaves in the Mediterranean Region

14:40. Natalia Stamataki, Constantin Frangoulis, Sarantis Sofianos, Pierre De Mey-Frémaux & George Petihakis. Improving Quality Control and detecting extreme events through Multivariate analysis. A case study in the Cretan Sea

15:00. Coffee Break

Session – Predictions; Session Chair: Yonggang Liu

15:20. Marko Rus, Hrvoje Mihanovic, Matjaz Licer & Matej Kristan. HIDRA3: A Robust Deep-Learning Model for Multi-Point Sea-Surface Height and Storm Surges Forecasting

15:40. Swantje Bastin, Birte-Marie Ehlers & Frank Janssen. The exceptional Baltic storm surge from October 2023 – operational and climate information at BSH

16:00. Seuri Basilio & Magnus Hieronymus. A probabilistic view of extreme sea level rise in the Baltic Sea Going from the regional to the local, leveraging spatial dependency and missing values

16:20. Meng Xia, Miaohua Mao, Xinyi Kang, Nishat F Nimni & Bishnupriya Sahoo. How the storm surge impacts a coastal bay system?

16:40. Anna Chiara Goglio, Emanuela Clementi, Giulio Boccaletti & Nadia Pinardi. Forecasting Venice Acqua Alta events

17:00. Eike Koehn, Gesa Eirund, Matthias Münnich, Damian Loher & Nicolas Gruber. The future of marine heatwaves and biogeochemical extremes in the California Current System

20:00. Colloquium Dinner at Van Der Valk Sélys Avenue, Liège

Thursday 30 May 2024

Session – Impacts and Adaptation; Session Chair: Serena Zunino

09:00. Keynote: Steve Widdicombe Building on 20 years of ocean acidification research, how do we turn this science knowledge into political and social action?

09:30. Manuel Jesús León-Cobo, Angélica Enrique-Navarro, Ana Bartual & Laura Prieto.Impact of warming and acidification on the Mediterranean Sea on the balance organ of the scyphozoan jellyfish Rhizostoma pulmo

09:50. Camila Artana, Leonardo Capitani, Gabriel Santos Garcia, Ronaldo Angelini & Marta Coll. Food web trophic control modulates tropical Atlantic reef ecosystems response to marine heat wave intensity and duration

10:10. Xavier Raick, Eric Parmentier, David Lecchini, Cédric Gervaise, Frédéric Bertucci, Guillaume Iwankow, Gilles Siu & Lucia Di Iorio. Resilience dynamics of marine protected areas to coral bleaching extremes in the South Pacific Ocean: insights from passive acoustic monitoring

10:30. Coffee Break

11:00. Discussion Session: "Ocean Extremes: Current Challenges in Science, Communication and Policy"; Panel: Svetlana Jevrejeva, Regina R. Rodrigues, Steve Widdicombe, Sigi Gruber. Moderator: Sabrina Speich.

12:30. Lunch Break

14:00. Carlo Brandini, Michele Bendoni, Andrea Cucco, Stefano Taddei, Francesca Caparrini, Iulia Anton, Roberta Paranunzio, Rossella Mocali, Michele Sacco, Massimo Perna, Giovanni Vitale, Alberto Ortolani & Salem Gharbia. From global to local: SCORE’s approach to the study of coastal extreme events

14:20. Fortunatus Masanja Assessing the impact of atmospheric heatwaves on intertidal clams

14:40. Thibault Guinaldo, Christophe Cassou, Aur´ Elien Liné & Jean Baptiste Sallée. Characterization of the North Atlantic exceptional warming in May-June 2023

15:00. Coffee Break

Session – Predictions; Session Chair: Jean-Marie Beckers

15:20. Jacob T. Cohen, Luanne Thompson, Cassia Cai, Anna-Lena Deppenmeier, Elizabeth Maroon & Evan Meeker. Object-Based Evaluation of Marine Heatwave Predictions

15:40. Xiaoxue Wang, Armin Köhl & Detlef Stammer. Mechanism and Forecast Potential of North Pacific Marine Heatwaves inferred from Adjoint Sensitivities

16:00. Anna Teruzzi, Ali Aydogdu, Jenny Pistoia, Pietro Miraglio, Gianluca Volpe, Claudia Fanelli, Valeria Di Biagio & Gianpiero Cossarini. Characterization of an anomalous 2022 deep water formation and bloom event in the southeastern Mediterranean Sea

16:20. Federico Cossu, Evgeniia Makarova, Albert S. Rabaneda, Marcos Portabella, Joseph Tenerelli, Nicolas Reul, Ad Stoffelen, Giuseppe Grieco, Joseph Sapp, Zorana Jelenak & Paul Chang. Intercalibration and error characterization of satellite and synergistic sea-surface wind products under tropical cyclone conditions

16:40. Yonggang Liu, Robert H. Weisberg, Jason A. Law, Jing Chen & Lianyuan Zheng. Coastal ocean response to Hurricanes Ian and Idalia revealed through coordinated observations and models

Friday 31 May 2024

Session – Hands-On Workshop on Detection and Analysis of Extremes

09:00. Training Activity 1: EUMETSAT Copernicus Marine Training Service – HABs, extreme waves

Trainers: Ben Loveday (EUMETSAT) and Gwenael Le Bras (OSI-SAF)

Copernicus Satellite Data using Jupyter Notebooks

12:00. Lunch Break

14:00. Training Activity 2: Marine heatwaves in silico with heatwaveR: from basic detection and visualization to downloading and analyzing gridded datasets.

Use of the heatwaveR Package: Robert Schegel.

17:00. Closure of the Colloquium

Posters

Poster display is from Monday, 27 May 2024 to Thursday, 30 May 2024. Poster session is Tuesday, 28 May 2024 15:40 - 17:20

Session: Drivers and mechanisms

1.Nicole Delpeche-Ellmann A Case Study of Transverse Jets in Coastal Upwellings from a Lagrangian Transport Perspective

2. Rianne Giesen Using Copernicus Marine Service surface wind products to explore ocean extremes.

3. Zhuomin Li. The response of reconstruction HY-1D/COCTS SST to the strong upwelling events in Gulf of Lion.

4. Franck Eitel Kemgang Ghomsi Climate extremes in the 20th and 21st centuries: implications for critical coastal ecosystem in the Gulf of Guinea.

5. Federico Serva Drivers of recurrent marine heatwaves: the case of the Euro-Mediterranean region.

6. Adolfo Chamorro High resolution characterization and future evolution of atmospheric coastal jets in the Peruvian Upwelling System.

7.Sofia Ostroumova Position of the Malvinas current jets based on along-track sattelite altimetry data.

8. Tobias Schulzki From the surface to the deep-sea: characteristics and drivers of marine heatwaves in the Atlantic Ocean.

9. Ben Loveday Monitoring ocean extremes with satellite data from EUMETSAT.

10. Fabrice Collard Quantifying extratropical storms by their swell imprints on the world oceans.

11. Elise Beaudin Changes in Ocean Transport during Marine Heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific.

12. Guillaume Charria Impact of Marine Heatwaves over the water column in a coastal ocean: a case study in the Bay of Biscay and the English Channel.

13. Mathurin Choblet Linking storm events and hypoxia dynamics. The case of the Black sea shelf.

14. Harshal Chavan Storm impacts on the marine environment in the English channel.

15. Sophia Groninger The influence of large-scale metocean conditions on extreme wave heights in the Barents sea.

16. Coline Poppeschi Suspended particulate matter response to extreme forcings in the Bay of Seine.

18. Rosalia Santoleri CAREHeat: deteCtion and threAts of maRinE Heat waves Project.

53. Basile Caterina. Extreme velocities at the bottom of a tidal Mediterranean strait: case of the Rio-Antirio strait.

Session: Long-term changes

19. Katrin Schroeder Long-term changes in the Sicily Channel: insights into climate-driven variability.

20. Laura Schaffer Development of a Storm Surge Risk Index for the German Bight.

21. Chunxue Yang Investigating long-term changes and their uncertainty over a 60-year time period and longer.

22. Daria Smirnova Extreme sea level oscillations in the Sea of Japan caused by the most powerful typhoons for the period 2012-2020.

23. Olga Lavrova Anomalous Algal Bloom in the Caspian Sea: Occurrence and Reasons.

24. Daniela Turk Observing system for detecting climate-induced changes and extremes in the eastern part of the Gulf of Trieste along the Slovenian coast.

25. Isaline Bossert Marine heatwaves in stabilized climate.

27. Yuntao Zhou Steady expansion of global oxygen minimum volumes under climate change.

Session: Compound events

28. Thomas Froelicher Unraveling the global impact of marine heatwaves on air-sea CO2 exchange.

29. Ny Riana Randresihaja Multi-Scale modelling of storm surge events in the Scheldt North Sea River-Ocean continuum.

31. Aida Alvera-Azcárate EXSALT - Study of compound ocean surface EXtreme events: SALinity-Temperature variations during the onset and decline of marine heat waves and cold spells.

32. Luz Verónica Delvasto Algarín Navigating Internal Waves: Exploring the Links Between Internal Wave Circulation, Chlorophyll Distribution, and the Forces of Currents in the Gibraltar Strait.

Session: Predictions

33. Sebastien Barthelemy Hybrid covariance super-resolution data assimilation.

34. Mattia Cavaiola AI-driven nowcasting of sea-surface currents estimated by HF Radar.

35. Maxime Beauchamp Neural SPDE solver for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional ocean dynamics.

36. Saeed Rajabi-Kiasari Forecasting Sea Level Maxima Using Machine Learning Models in the Baltic Sea.

37. Aida Alvera-Azcárate Study of the spatio-temporal evolution of Marine Heat Waves in the southern North Sea using medium and high spatial resolution satellite data..

38. Antonios Parasyris Forecasting of Marine Heatwaves in the Mediterranean Sea: A Machine Learning Approach.

39. John Karagiorgos Oceanic influence on Mediterranean cyclones: Insights from coupled ocean-wave-atmosphere simulations.

40. Hyun Yang Abnormal Water Temperature Prediction using Deep Learning.

41. Baptiste Mourre Intense wind-driven coastal upwelling in the Balearic Islands in response to Storm Blas (November 2021).

42. Waed Abed Set up of ERA-Emulator from the ERA5 reanalysis dataset to Detect the Extreme Precipitation Events.

43. Eleuterio Yanez Vulnerability to climate change of essential habitats for pelagic resources of economic importance in Chile.

44. Kun Sun Enhanced Storm Surge Prediction in Hong Kong Coastal Waters Using Deep Learning Methodology.

Session: Impacts and Adaptation

45. Angela Rodriguez Ruiz Environmental drivers of crustacean larval traits and their implications for bioinvasions in a context of climate change.

46. Alexandra Parouffe Effect of ENSO on aerobic habitat in the South East Pacific.

47. Miriam Gimeno Penguins as Ecosystem Guardians: Navigating Extreme Events in the Southern Hemisphere.

48. Ocea van Loenen Impact of an intense long-lasting flood event on the biogeochemistry of the Rhine prodelta sediments: preliminary results.

49. Thibault Guinaldo Impact of 2023 marine heatwaves on coccolithophores blooms in the North Atlantic Ocean.

50. Viktoria Wichert ElbeXtreme: Effects of Extreme Events on Ecosystem Services in the Elbe Coastal-Estuarine System Risks and Adaptation Strategies.

51. Daniela Rojas-Rojas Swept by Heat: Comparative Insights into Marine Heatwave Effects on Kelp Coverage Across Chile, New Zealand, and California.

52. Andrea Kaplan Accumulated impacts of environmental extreme events on Mediterranean Marine Ecosystems.